NFL Picks - Week 4 - 2008

Me, Ed from Ed The Sports Fan, and Joe from What's The 401?!?! are back on our grind with the picks for Week 4. Be advised that we have all done horribly so far against the spread. I gave you fair warning...beware!

Here are the Week 4 spreads and ATS trends:

at Cincinnati by 3.5 over Cleveland:

Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Browns are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Browns are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
Browns are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Browns are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Browns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Browns are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North.
Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against CLE.
Bengals are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Bengals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bengals are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bengals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4.

Denver by 9 at Kansas City:

Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games on grass.
Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
Broncos are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Broncos are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC West.
Broncos are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. win.
Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Broncos are 1-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Chiefs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against DEN.
Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Chiefs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West.
Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

at Carolina by 7 over Atlanta:

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Falcons are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games at CAR.
Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Falcons are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Falcons are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Falcons are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC South.
Falcons are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Panthers are 43-21 ATS in their last 64 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.

at New Orleans by 6 over San Francisco:

49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
49ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.
49ers are 5-14-3 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
49ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.

Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games at home against SF.
Saints are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Saints are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Saints are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

at Tampa Bay by 1 over Green Bay:

Packers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Packers are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Packers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
Packers are 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 vs. NFC.
Packers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Packers are 4-9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Buccaneers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games against GB.
Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

at Jacksonville by 8 over Houston:

Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Texans are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games at JAX.
Texans are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Texans are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Jaguars are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Jaguars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

at Tennessee by 3 over Minnesota:

Vikings are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Titans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Titans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Titans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Titans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Titans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Titans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Titans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 4.

at NY Jets by 1.5 over Arizona:

Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Jets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Jets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

San Diego by 7 at Oakland:

Chargers are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at OAK.
Chargers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against OAK.
Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chargers are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chargers are 19-7-4 ATS in their last 30 vs. AFC West.
Chargers are 27-11-3 ATS in their last 41 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 40-17-3 ATS in their last 60 games on grass.
Chargers are 36-16-4 ATS in their last 56 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 45-21-3 ATS in their last 69 games overall.
Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Raiders are 11-23-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Raiders are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
Raiders are 19-41-1 ATS in their last 61 games following a S.U. loss.
Raiders are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Raiders are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 home games.
Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Raiders are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Buffalo by 8 at St. Louis:

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games at STL.
Bills are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
Bills are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
Bills are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Bills are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bills are 38-18-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Rams are 18-37-1 ATS in their last 56 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 18-39-1 ATS in their last 58 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a ATS loss.
Rams are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 8-23-2 ATS in their last 33 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Rams are 7-21-3 ATS in their last 31 games in September.
Rams are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rams are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

at Dallas by 11 over Washington:

Redskins are 5-1 in their last 6 games against DAL.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Redskins are 5-9-2 ATS in their last 16 games on the road.
Redskins are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against DAL.
Redskins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games at DAL.

Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games at home against WASH.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Philadelphia by 3 at Chicago:

Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games against PHI.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

at Pittsburgh by 5 over Baltimore:

Ravens are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4.
Ravens are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.
Ravens are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Ravens are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Ravens are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Ravens are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 road games.

Steelers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Steelers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games at home against BAL.
Steelers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Steelers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

NFL Picks - Week 4 -2008:
Picks of the Week:

Best Bet Pick: Buffalo (+8) at St. Louis. If Buffalo doesn't beat St. Louis by more than 8 points than they should be ashamed of themselves because St. Louis is just awful. I think the Bills are legit and will pound on St. Louis just like the Giants, Seahawks, and Eagles did. I also like Philly (+3) over the Bears because they are going to blitz the hell out of Kyle Orton.

Sleeper Pick: Atlanta (-7) at Carolina. I've gotten all 3 of my sleeper picks right so far, which is amazing considering I've been getting most of the other picks wrong. This could be the week I go down, but I think that the Atlanta running game and defense is good enough to stay within 7 points of Carolina.

Danger Game: NY Jets (+1.5) over Arizona. Right now Arizona is playing much better than the Jets, but the Jets probably need this game pretty badly. This is also Arizona's second straight road game. Favre is banged up but the Jets defense is not as bad as it looked last week. A couple of botched onside kicks, a fumble by Thomas Jones, and a pick for TD by Favre led to the Chargers high point total. I will be staying away from this one.

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